Testing sincerity
Henry Kissinger’s February 1973 encounter with the Chinese leadership
In strategic contexts actors may costlessly renege on verbal commitments. Many analysts consequently reject negotiation talk as an empirical basis for examining political interaction. They focus on deeds (e.g., missile deployments, troop movements, defense expenditures), which more likely than cheap talk signal sincere intent. Dialogical or pragmatic analysts, however, apply tools of linguistics and formal logic in systematic examinations of negotiation talk. They finesse the problem of insincerity by imposing upon themselves the burden of showing the consistency of actors possibly insincere utterances with their interests and prior commitments. We present a dialogical analysis of the initial conversations between US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and Chinese leaders in February of 1973. The Chinese leaders test Kissingers sincerity by attempting to trap him in contradictions or drive him into implausible conversational commitments. This practice lends support to the heuristic proposed by dialogical/pragmatic analysts for finessing the problem of insincerity.
References (34)
References
Bach, Kent & Harnish, Robert M. 1979. Linguistic Communication and Speech Acts. Cambridge: MIT Press.
Bundy, William P. 1998. A Tangled Web: The Making of Foreign Policy in the Nixon Presidency. New York: Hill and Wang.
Burr, William. 1999. The Kissinger Transcripts: The Top Secret Talks with Beijing and Moscow. New York: W.W. Norton.
Burr, William. 2001. Sino-American relations, 1969: The Sino-Soviet border war and steps towards rapprochement. Cold War History 1(3), 73—112.
Duffy, Gavan. 2002. Language analysis for peace science. Peace Economics, and Peace Science and Public Policy 81, 24—47.
Duffy, Gavan. 2008. Pragmatic Analysis. In Audie Klotz and Deepa Prakash, eds., Qualitative Methods in International Relations: A Pluralist Guide. Houndsmills: Palgrave MacMillan, 2008, pp. 168—186.
Duffy, Gavan, Frederking, Brian K. & Tucker, Seth A 1998. Language games: Dialogical analysis of INF negotiations. International Studies Quarterly 421, 271—294.
Duffy, Gavan, & Goh, Evelyn. 2001. From tacit to secret alliance: Pragmatic analysis of Kissinger’s 1973 reconstruction of US-China relations. Fourth Pan-European Conference on International Relations. European Consortium on Political Research. University of Kent, Canterbury UK.
Farrell, Joseph & Rabin, Matthew. 1996. Cheap talk. Journal of Economic Perspectives 10(3), 103—118.
Garver, John W. 1982. China’s Decision for Rapprochement with the United States, 1968—1971. Boulder, CO: Westview.
Gaskins, Richard H. 1992. Burdens of Proof in Modern Discourse. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Hersh, Seymour M. 1983. The Price of Power: Kissinger in the Nixon White House. New York: Summit Books.
Holdridge. John H. 1997. Crossing the Divide: An Insider’s Account of Normalization of US-China Relations. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield.
Jervis, Robert. 1992. A Political Science perspective on the balance of power and the concert. American Historical Review 971, 716—724.
Kissinger, Henry. 1979. White House Years. Boston: Little, Brown.
Kissinger, Henry. 1982. Years of Upheaval. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson.
Kissinger, Henry. 1994. Diplomacy. New York: Simon and Schuster.
Mann, James. 1998. About Face: A History of America’s Curious Relationship with China, From Nixon to Clinton. New York: Vintage Books.
Nixon, Richard. 1972. Second Annual Report to the Congress on US Foreign Policy, 25 February 1971. Public Papers of the Presidents: Richard Nixon 1971. Washington: US Government Printing Office.
Ostrom, Elinor. 1998. A behavioral approach to the Rational Choice Theory of Collective Action: Presidential address, The American Political Science Association, 1997. American Political Science Review 921: 1—22.
Ross, Robert S. 1995. Negotiating Cooperation: The United States and China, 1969—1989. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
Searle, John R. 1969. Speech Acts: An Essay in the Philosophy of Language. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Schelling, Thomas C. 1960. Strategy of Conflict. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Schroeder, Paul W. 1989. The nineteenth century system: Balance of power or political equilibrium? Review of International Studies 151, 135—53.
Tyler, Patrick. 1999. A Great Wall: Six Presidents and China. New York: Public Affairs.
Walt, Stephen M. 1982. The Origins of Alliances. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.
Waltz, Kenneth N. 1979. Theory of International Politics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
Archival Sources
Hsu, Han, Kissinger, Henry et al.. 1973. Memcon. 15 May 1973. Box 328. Lord Files. LOT 77D112, RG59, NA.
Lord, Winston to Henry Kissinger. 1973. ‘Your Trip to China.’ 11 October 1973, Box 370, Lord Files, LOT 77D114, RG59, NA.
Kissinger, Henry. 1973. “Dr. Kissinger’s Remarks to President Pompidou, May 1973.” n.d., Box 328, Lord Files, LOT 77D112, RG59, NA.
Kissinger, Henry to Richard M. Nixon. 1973. “My Visit to China.” 19 November 1973. Box 330. Lord Files. LOT 77D112, RG59, NA.
Kissinger, Henry to Richard M. Nixon. 1973a. “Meeting with President Pompidou.” n.d. Box 949, NSF, NPM, NA.
United States, Department of State. 1996. “Reports of Meetings.” 15 August 1961, 13 December 1962 in Foreign Relations of the United States 1961—3 XXII: Northeast Asia. Washington: USGPO.
United States, Department of State. 1998. “Reports of Meetings.” 16 December 1965, 16 March 1966, 8 January 1968 in Foreign Relations of the United States 1964—8 XXX: Chin. Washington: USGPO.
Cited by (1)
Cited by one other publication
Duffy, Gavan & Brian Frederking
2009.
Changing the Rules: A Speech Act Analysis of the End of the Cold War.
International Studies Quarterly 53:2
► pp. 325 ff.
This list is based on CrossRef data as of 5 july 2024. Please note that it may not be complete. Sources presented here have been supplied by the respective publishers.
Any errors therein should be reported to them.